Author: Pei Wang; Junan Lu; Yanyu Jin; Mengfan Zhu; Lingling Wang; Shunjie Chen
Title: Epidemiological characteristics of 1212 COVID-19 patients in Henan, China Document date: 2020_2_23
ID: 1mxjklgx_31
Snippet: The fitted curves from the three methods are shown in Fig.3 A. Comparing among the three methods, it seems that the fitted curve from the ME method has the smallest variance, the variances of the OLS and MLE approaches are both very high. High variance indicates higher proportions of patients with long incubation periods. The ME method may well mimic the actual long right tail of the incubation period, while the OLS estimation could well describe.....
Document: The fitted curves from the three methods are shown in Fig.3 A. Comparing among the three methods, it seems that the fitted curve from the ME method has the smallest variance, the variances of the OLS and MLE approaches are both very high. High variance indicates higher proportions of patients with long incubation periods. The ME method may well mimic the actual long right tail of the incubation period, while the OLS estimation could well describe the cases with middle incubation periods (incubation periods 2 ∼ 14). The MLE approach seems in between the ME and OLS approaches. The estimated interquartile range from the ME method is [4.1495, 9.3523] , which closes to the result from the 483 patients ( [4, 11] ).
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