Author: Kumar, Sumit; Sharma, Sandeep; Kumari, Nitu
Title: Future of COVID-19 in Italy: A mathematical perspective Cord-id: indbrcew Document date: 2020_4_18
ID: indbrcew
Snippet: We have proposed an SEIR compartmental mathematical model. The prime objective of this study is to analyze and forecast the pandemic in Italy for the upcoming months. The basic reproduction number has been calculated. Based on the current situation in Italy, in this paper, we will estimate the possible time for the end of the pandemic in the country. The impact of lockdown and rapid isolation on the spread of the pandemic are also discussed. Further, we have studied four of the most pandemic aff
Document: We have proposed an SEIR compartmental mathematical model. The prime objective of this study is to analyze and forecast the pandemic in Italy for the upcoming months. The basic reproduction number has been calculated. Based on the current situation in Italy, in this paper, we will estimate the possible time for the end of the pandemic in the country. The impact of lockdown and rapid isolation on the spread of the pandemic are also discussed. Further, we have studied four of the most pandemic affected regions in Italy. Using the proposed model, a prediction has been made about the duration of pandemic in these regions. The variation in the basic reproduction number corresponding to the sensitive parameters of the model is also examined.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- active case and acute respiratory syndrome: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- active case and acute transmission: 1
- active case and lockdown impact: 1
- active case and long term impact: 1
- active case and low report: 1
- active case and low report case: 1
- active number and acute respiratory syndrome: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23
- active number and lockdown impact: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- active number and long term impact: 1, 2, 3
- acute respiratory syndrome and lock impose: 1
- acute respiratory syndrome and lockdown impact: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- acute respiratory syndrome and lockdown impact study: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- acute respiratory syndrome and long term impact: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- acute respiratory syndrome and low report: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
- acute respiratory syndrome and low report case: 1
- acute transmission and lockdown impact: 1
- lockdown impact and long term impact: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- lockdown impact study and long term impact: 1, 2, 3
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date