Author: Witold R Rudnicki; Radoslaw Piliszek
Title: Estimate of Covid-19 prevalence using imperfect data Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: bbzmu37q_41
Snippet: Models 1 and 2, give a similar estimate of mortality that is substantially lower than that of Model 3. This happens because the number of cases used by these models is recorded with a 7 days offset with the number of deaths, whereas in Model 3, the number of cases is average over time span that is significantly shifted towards longer times, effectively contributing less cases to the denominator in Eq. 2......
Document: Models 1 and 2, give a similar estimate of mortality that is substantially lower than that of Model 3. This happens because the number of cases used by these models is recorded with a 7 days offset with the number of deaths, whereas in Model 3, the number of cases is average over time span that is significantly shifted towards longer times, effectively contributing less cases to the denominator in Eq. 2.
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