Author: Robert J Challen; Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova; Martin Pitt; Tom Edwards; Luke Gompels; Lucas Lacasa; Ellen Brooks-Pollock; Chris Martin; Gareth Griffith; Leon Danon
Title: Estimates of regional infectivity of COVID-19 in the United Kingdom following imposition of social distancing measures Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: fqvrlrv0_51
Snippet: As we move forward, assuming we get to a phase after the first peak of SARS-CoV-2 infections has passed we will be in a new phase where the early detection and prevention of spread of emerging clusters SARS-CoV-2 infections is critical to prevent large scale outbreaks. This will be challenging as the long incubation period and high rate of asymptomatic individuals makes undetected rapid spread easy. If it is possible to predict at a more localise.....
Document: As we move forward, assuming we get to a phase after the first peak of SARS-CoV-2 infections has passed we will be in a new phase where the early detection and prevention of spread of emerging clusters SARS-CoV-2 infections is critical to prevent large scale outbreaks. This will be challenging as the long incubation period and high rate of asymptomatic individuals makes undetected rapid spread easy. If it is possible to predict at a more localised level where in the community infections will spread, then we can focus both community testing and more targeted social interventions on high risk areas in the future.
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