COVID-19 outbreak forecast in India with respect to nationwide lockdown and unlock using SIR model : COVID-19 Prediction SIR Model

Sharma, A.; Yadav, D.; Maheshwari, H.; Chandra, U.

Coronavirus is getting to be cerebral pain for world day by day. Number of cases of coronavirus is expanding persistently that straightforwardly irritates the ever yday exercises of human being and devastates the economy of nations. On March 22, 2020 a one-day Janta curfew has been imposed by the Indian government. After three days on 25 March 2020, the mitigation strategy for COVID-19 in the country declared a nineteen-day shutdown. To control the pandemic total four lockdown was implemented, and presently to boost the economy third unlock period with restriction in India are going on. Infection of coronavirus is beneath control in lockdown period but in unlock the infection take the shape of pandemic. Research aimed at predicting the trend of the COVID-19 pandemic in India with data from 1st June 2020 by employing the Susceptible, Infectious and Recovered (SIR) mathematical model. The analytical results suggest, on the basis of many assumption, that the pandemic is expected to shrink in India by about December 2020 and crest around within a week of March 2021 following the completion of the unlock period. © 2021 IEEE.