Author: Robert Verity; Lucy C Okell; Ilaria Dorigatti; Peter Winskill; Charles Whittaker; Natsuko Imai; Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg; Hayley Thompson; Patrick Walker; Han Fu; Amy Dighe; Jamie Griffin; Anne Cori; Marc Baguelin; Sangeeta Bhatia; Adhiratha Boonyasiri; Zulma M Cucunuba; Rich Fitzjohn; Katy A M Gaythorpe; Will Green; Arran Hamlet; Wes Hinsley; Daniel Laydon; Gemma Nedjati-Gilani; Steven Riley; Sabine van-Elsand; Erik Volz; Haowei Wang; Yuanrong Wang; Xiayoue Xi; Christl Donnelly; Azra Ghani; Neil Ferguson
Title: Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: 10n2u1b1_109
Snippet: Given our case and death age-stratification = { ∈ 1: 9; 1 = 0 − 9 , 2 = 10 − 19, … 9 = 80 +} we define the following parameters: the associated set of case-fatality rates , mean and standard deviation to mean ratio of the onset-to-death distribution (• | , ). Observed cases are adjusted assuming homogeneous attack rates across age groups and a demographic agedistribution representative of China, assuming perfect case ascertainment in th.....
Document: Given our case and death age-stratification = { ∈ 1: 9; 1 = 0 − 9 , 2 = 10 − 19, … 9 = 80 +} we define the following parameters: the associated set of case-fatality rates , mean and standard deviation to mean ratio of the onset-to-death distribution (• | , ). Observed cases are adjusted assuming homogeneous attack rates across age groups and a demographic agedistribution representative of China, assuming perfect case ascertainment in the 50-59 year old age group outside of Wuhan where there were the highest levels of case reporting relative to population size (see above). We also adjust for an additional level of underreporting specific to Wuhan (relative to elsewhere in China), .
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