Author: James H Stock; Karl M Aspelund; Michael Droste; Christopher D Walker
Title: Estimates of the Undetected Rate among the SARS-CoV-2 Infected using Testing Data from Iceland Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: lysrwv2f_4
Snippet: We are interested in the fraction of the infected who are not eligible for NUHI testing (the "undetected rate"). Expressed as a probability, this rate is Pr( = 0| = 1), where NE = 1 if the individual is eligible for NUHI testing (NUHI-eligible) and 0 otherwise (NUHI-ineligible), and I = 1 if the individual is infected with SARS-CoV-2 and 0 otherwise. Denote this rate by θ. Using Bayes Law, the undetected rate is related to the rates of infection.....
Document: We are interested in the fraction of the infected who are not eligible for NUHI testing (the "undetected rate"). Expressed as a probability, this rate is Pr( = 0| = 1), where NE = 1 if the individual is eligible for NUHI testing (NUHI-eligible) and 0 otherwise (NUHI-ineligible), and I = 1 if the individual is infected with SARS-CoV-2 and 0 otherwise. Denote this rate by θ. Using Bayes Law, the undetected rate is related to the rates of infection among the NUHI-eligible and the NUHI-ineligible: (1) is the total infection rate.
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