Author: Andreas Eilersen; Kim Sneppen
Title: Estimating cost-benefit of quarantine length for Covid-19 mitigation Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: b8a78ym6_11
Snippet: We simulate the progression of disease using an SEIR model with four exposed states, E = E 1 + E 2 + E 3 + E 4 . The exposed states are treated equally, and we assume that there is no infection during the whole incubation period. Thus we at present do not include potential infection at stage E 4 , as data on pre-symptomatic infections are still uncertain. 13 Multiple states are solely included in order to get a naturalistic distribution of incuba.....
Document: We simulate the progression of disease using an SEIR model with four exposed states, E = E 1 + E 2 + E 3 + E 4 . The exposed states are treated equally, and we assume that there is no infection during the whole incubation period. Thus we at present do not include potential infection at stage E 4 , as data on pre-symptomatic infections are still uncertain. 13 Multiple states are solely included in order to get a naturalistic distribution of incubation periods. Li et al. 10 report that the mean incubation period is approximately five days and the reported distribution is fitted well by the Gamma distribution we obtain from our four E-states.
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