Author: Witold R Rudnicki; Radoslaw Piliszek
Title: Estimate of Covid-19 prevalence using imperfect data Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: bbzmu37q_30
Snippet: The final estimate of mortality in the target country is obtained by computing results of available models and taking the average of them. The number of available models depends on the available data. Models are computed only for countries that have reached at least 30 total deaths, a sufficiently long time before building of the model. The time span required is at least 3, 17 or 23 days, for models 1, 2 and 3, respectively. The estimates of the .....
Document: The final estimate of mortality in the target country is obtained by computing results of available models and taking the average of them. The number of available models depends on the available data. Models are computed only for countries that have reached at least 30 total deaths, a sufficiently long time before building of the model. The time span required is at least 3, 17 or 23 days, for models 1, 2 and 3, respectively. The estimates of the lower and upper bounds of the estimate are obtained by averaging the bounds computed for available models.
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