Author: Sahamoddin Khailaie; Tanmay Mitra; Arnab Bandyopadhyay; Marta Schips; Pietro Mascheroni; Patrizio Vanella; Berit Lange; Sebastian Binder; Michael Meyer-Hermann
Title: Estimate of the development of the epidemic reproduction number Rt from Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 case data and implications for political measures based on prognostics Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 0uzma5vr_78
Snippet: As we don't consider the scenario when somebody from ICU gets shifted back to general hospital care facility and possibly gets discharged from there after spending few days, this formulation may result in an overestimation of 1/R8, thereby giving rise to more ICU patients than what would be the case in reality. To account for that, we vary 1/R8 in a range of 5 -16 days and assume the median value for 1/R8 is around 8 days for Germany due to a pre.....
Document: As we don't consider the scenario when somebody from ICU gets shifted back to general hospital care facility and possibly gets discharged from there after spending few days, this formulation may result in an overestimation of 1/R8, thereby giving rise to more ICU patients than what would be the case in reality. To account for that, we vary 1/R8 in a range of 5 -16 days and assume the median value for 1/R8 is around 8 days for Germany due to a predominantly young or middle-aged infected population.
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