Author: Antoine Danchin; Tuen Wai Patrick Ng; Gabriel TURINICI
Title: A new transmission route for the propagation of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus Document date: 2020_2_18
ID: 4ah705nc_34
Snippet: Elaborating on the behavior of previous coronavirus outbreaks, we worked out the hypothesis that an alternative infection tropism (the gut tropism) linked to a secondary propagation route (through environment) is affecting the development of the present 2019-nCoV epidemic. Our epidemic propagation model, when fit to existing data, indicated that, among all regions analysed (Wuhan city in the Huabei region in mainland China, Singapore, Shenzhen re.....
Document: Elaborating on the behavior of previous coronavirus outbreaks, we worked out the hypothesis that an alternative infection tropism (the gut tropism) linked to a secondary propagation route (through environment) is affecting the development of the present 2019-nCoV epidemic. Our epidemic propagation model, when fit to existing data, indicated that, among all regions analysed (Wuhan city in the Huabei region in mainland China, Singapore, Shenzhen region), the propagation of the disease in the city of Wuhan underwent an original course. It appeared to be substantially facilitated by a secondary propagation route, thus substantiating the beneficial effect of an effective quarantine. The main message of our exploration is that relevant prevention measures that take into account both propagation routes should be implemented to contain the extension of the epidemic to further sites, especially when novel sites are uncovered.
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