Author: Witold R Rudnicki; Radoslaw Piliszek
Title: Estimate of Covid-19 prevalence using imperfect data Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: bbzmu37q_5
Snippet: In the current study we propose a methodology that generates an estimate on the current state of epidemic in a given country using the reported deaths and reference epidemiology data from the reference country. The model aims at estimating what would be the number of positive tests, if testing was performed to the standards of the best testing countries. The reference country is selected using known testing policies, a sufficiently long cases his.....
Document: In the current study we propose a methodology that generates an estimate on the current state of epidemic in a given country using the reported deaths and reference epidemiology data from the reference country. The model aims at estimating what would be the number of positive tests, if testing was performed to the standards of the best testing countries. The reference country is selected using known testing policies, a sufficiently long cases history to develop models, and the state of the epidemic that is similar to target countries.
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