Author: Sahamoddin Khailaie; Tanmay Mitra; Arnab Bandyopadhyay; Marta Schips; Pietro Mascheroni; Patrizio Vanella; Berit Lange; Sebastian Binder; Michael Meyer-Hermann
Title: Estimate of the development of the epidemic reproduction number Rt from Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 case data and implications for political measures based on prognostics Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 0uzma5vr_12
Snippet: In order to assess the impact of releasing NPIs now, the reproduction number was increased by factors of 4/3 and 5/3 ( Figure 3 , magenta and red, respectively). Any release of NPIs leads to a major immunisation of the population ( Figure 3A , red and magenta), and to an overwhelmed health care system with a peak in the range of 500,000 to 1 million ICU beds needed to treat the patients with complications ( Figure 3B , red and magenta). The peak .....
Document: In order to assess the impact of releasing NPIs now, the reproduction number was increased by factors of 4/3 and 5/3 ( Figure 3 , magenta and red, respectively). Any release of NPIs leads to a major immunisation of the population ( Figure 3A , red and magenta), and to an overwhelmed health care system with a peak in the range of 500,000 to 1 million ICU beds needed to treat the patients with complications ( Figure 3B , red and magenta). The peak is shifted to earlier times the more NPIs are released.
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