Transmission dynamics of novel Coronavirus–SARS-CoV-2 in South Sumatera, Indonesia

Sitorus, Rico Januar; Wathan, Irzanita; Ridwan, Hibsah; Wibisono, Hariadi; Nuraini, Lesti; Yusri; Kosim, Gandi; Nurdin, Nugi; Mamat, Hatta; Andrayani, Iche; Antara, Nyoman Yudi; Natalia, Merry

SARS-CoV-2 has shaken the world by extremely raising death tolls, illnesses, and economic losses. The virus is transmitted by humans to other humans, spreading to more than 200 countries. This research aims to analyze the transmission dynamics of novel Coronavirus-SARS-CoV-2 in South Sumatera Indonesia. This is epidemiologic research, and the research population is all SARS-CoV-2 patients and those who have close contact with the patients in all districts/cities in South Sumatera. It has been widely known that those that have made contact with patients confirmed positive for SARS-CoV-2 has a risk of getting infected by SARS-CoV-2 by 3.591 higher than those who never have (OR = 3.591, 95% CI: 2.933–4.396). Also, according to the findings, those who have a contact history to patients confirmed positive for SARS-CoV-2 have a risk of getting infected by SARS-CoV-2 by 2.387 higher than those who never have (OR = 2.387, 95% CI: 1.362–4.184). Meanwhile, those who have no idea for having made contact with patients confirmed positive for SARS-CoV-2 has a risk of getting infected by SARS-CoV-2 by 1.082 higher than those who have never a contact history to the SARS-CoV-2 patients (OR = 1.082, 95% CI: 0.622–1.882). To prevent broader transmission, those who have made contact with the SARS-CoV-2 patients need to be quarantined. The findings help us give community health interventions to globally fight this transmittable disease.