Author: Sahamoddin Khailaie; Tanmay Mitra; Arnab Bandyopadhyay; Marta Schips; Pietro Mascheroni; Patrizio Vanella; Berit Lange; Sebastian Binder; Michael Meyer-Hermann
Title: Estimate of the development of the epidemic reproduction number Rt from Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 case data and implications for political measures based on prognostics Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 0uzma5vr_40
Snippet: Mathematical models of viral epidemics are well established. R0 is a basic reproduction number which informs about the average number of persons infected by one infected individual. It can be calculated from the parameters of the respective model (Wallinga & Lipsitch, 2007; Heffernan et al. 2005; Diekmann et al. 1990; Diekmann et al. 2010) . A suitable approach to determine R0 in a particular region is to fit the model parameters to registered Co.....
Document: Mathematical models of viral epidemics are well established. R0 is a basic reproduction number which informs about the average number of persons infected by one infected individual. It can be calculated from the parameters of the respective model (Wallinga & Lipsitch, 2007; Heffernan et al. 2005; Diekmann et al. 1990; Diekmann et al. 2010) . A suitable approach to determine R0 in a particular region is to fit the model parameters to registered CoV-positive cases over time. The thus produced R0 provides information on the overall speed of viral dissemination and does not provide information about the effectiveness of the measures installed in the course of the case registration. This information is, however, contained in the data.
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