Author: James H Stock; Karl M Aspelund; Michael Droste; Christopher D Walker
Title: Estimates of the Undetected Rate among the SARS-CoV-2 Infected using Testing Data from Iceland Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: lysrwv2f_18
Snippet: Individuals in quarantine were excluded from deCODE testing and while some of the quarantined qualified for NUHI testing, some did not. Infections among those quarantined but NUHI-ineligible are therefore not detected by either the NUHI or deCODE testing. Under the assumption that the infection rate among the NUHI-ineligible quarantined does not exceed the infection rate of among NUHI-eligible, it is possible to use the laws of probability to bou.....
Document: Individuals in quarantine were excluded from deCODE testing and while some of the quarantined qualified for NUHI testing, some did not. Infections among those quarantined but NUHI-ineligible are therefore not detected by either the NUHI or deCODE testing. Under the assumption that the infection rate among the NUHI-ineligible quarantined does not exceed the infection rate of among NUHI-eligible, it is possible to use the laws of probability to bound the overall rate of infection among the NUHI-ineligible in terms of the infection rate among the NUHI-eligible and the deCODE rate (infections among the NUHI-ineligible who are not in quarantine). See Appendix Section B for details.
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