Selected article for: "cc ND international license and epidemic size"
Author: Rajesh Ranjan
Title: Estimating the Final Epidemic Size for COVID-19 Outbreak using Improved Epidemiological Models
  • Document date: 2020_4_16
    • ID: emyuny1a_55
    Snippet: Lastly, we show the predictions for countries worst affected by the epidemic in Fig. 9 . Good convergence is obtained for Spain, Italy, and Germany with an estimated final epidemic size of 0.23, 0.21 and 0.184 million respectively. On the other hand, the estimates for France, UK, Iran and India show convergence issues with a disparity in predictions with SIR and SEIQRDP models. This behavior is expected as discussed earlier as the curves in these.....
    Document: Lastly, we show the predictions for countries worst affected by the epidemic in Fig. 9 . Good convergence is obtained for Spain, Italy, and Germany with an estimated final epidemic size of 0.23, 0.21 and 0.184 million respectively. On the other hand, the estimates for France, UK, Iran and India show convergence issues with a disparity in predictions with SIR and SEIQRDP models. This behavior is expected as discussed earlier as the curves in these countries are still in 9 . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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