Author: Andreas Eilersen; Kim Sneppen
Title: Estimating cost-benefit of quarantine length for Covid-19 mitigation Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: b8a78ym6_16
Snippet: A further problem is the duration of the infectious period (I). Viral shedding has been observed to last up to eight days in moderate illness 14 . On the other hand, according to Linton et al., the median time from onset to hospitalisation is three days 15 . A bedridden patient (even if not hospitalised) is likely to transmit the disease less. To fit the observed distribution of times between subsequent infections of 7.5 days of Li et al. 10 we m.....
Document: A further problem is the duration of the infectious period (I). Viral shedding has been observed to last up to eight days in moderate illness 14 . On the other hand, according to Linton et al., the median time from onset to hospitalisation is three days 15 . A bedridden patient (even if not hospitalised) is likely to transmit the disease less. To fit the observed distribution of times between subsequent infections of 7.5 days of Li et al. 10 we model the infectious period as a single state with an average duration of five days. In comparison ref. 16 uses a serial interval distribution with mean of 6.5 days. Other authors have suggested a shorter serial interval 17 with pre-symptomatic infections. In the supplement we repeat our analysis for a "faster" model of the disease, maintaining the overall growth of an unconstrained epidemic of 23 % per day, but making the two last stages of the incubation period infectious.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- average duration and day mean: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- average duration and fast model: 1
- average duration and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
- average duration and infectious incubation period: 1
- average duration and infectious period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- average duration and infectious period duration: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- average duration and median time: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- day mean and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- day mean and infectious period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- day mean and interval distribution: 1, 2, 3
- day mean and median time: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- disease transmit and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- disease transmit and infectious incubation period: 1, 2, 3
- disease transmit and infectious incubation period stage: 1
- disease transmit and infectious period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- disease transmit and infectious period duration: 1
- disease transmit and median time: 1
- fast model and incubation period: 1
- incubation period and infectious incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date