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Author: Amitava Banerjee; Laura Pasea; Steve Harris; Arturo Gonzalez-Izquierdo; Ana Torralbo; Laura Shallcross; Mahdad Noursadeghi; Deenan Pillay; Christina Pagel; Wai Keong Wong; Claudia Langenberg; Bryan Williams; Spiros Denaxas; Harry Hemingway
Title: Estimating excess 1- year mortality from COVID-19 according to underlying conditions and age in England: a rapid analysis using NHS health records in 3.8 million adults
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
  • ID: 11hi1jel_52
    Snippet: Understanding how to mitigate the epidemic will require accessing and linking data about causes and consequences of this 'insult' across sectors including education, economy, transport. This is required in order to rapidly learn how to effectively respond to the COVID-19 epidemic. Social distancing policies may themselves influence the background mortality risks, as people may be less likely to access health and social care, and because social is.....
    Document: Understanding how to mitigate the epidemic will require accessing and linking data about causes and consequences of this 'insult' across sectors including education, economy, transport. This is required in order to rapidly learn how to effectively respond to the COVID-19 epidemic. Social distancing policies may themselves influence the background mortality risks, as people may be less likely to access health and social care, and because social isolation has in many previous studies been shown to be associated with the onset and progression of cardiovascular and other diseases (34) . Thus it is possible that we may have under-estimated the true 1-year mortality risks. It is not known whether sudden and systematic social distancing (35, 36) , particularly if prolonged over months, has different or additional health consequences, compared to those reported from earlier studies of 'social isolation.

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