Selected article for: "incubation period and International license"
Author: Yuemei Zhang; Sheng-Ru Cheng
Title: Estimating Preventable COVID19 Infections Related to Elective Outpatient Surgery in Washington State: A Quantitative Model
  • Document date: 2020_3_20
    • ID: mrsjhjh4_7
    Snippet: . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. Due to the incubation period of the virus, 6 coupled with the current resource limitations in the US, COVID-19 infections will not be detected until symptoms become evident. To estimate the asymptomatic infected population, we looked at confirmed COVID-19 cases and back-calculated the populat.....
    Document: . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. Due to the incubation period of the virus, 6 coupled with the current resource limitations in the US, COVID-19 infections will not be detected until symptoms become evident. To estimate the asymptomatic infected population, we looked at confirmed COVID-19 cases and back-calculated the population count that would have likely been in the pre-symptomatic incubation phase on previous dates. Based on recently published studies, the average incubation period of COVID-19 is around 5 to 6 days. [23] [24] [25] For this model, we used the shorter incubation period of 5 days, meaning that symptoms begin on day 5. This means that, for any time t, the number of asymptomatic but infected individuals can be estimated using the sum of new infections that were confirmed on t + 1 to t + 4 as follows:

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