Author: Jian Lu
Title: A New, Simple Projection Model for COVID-19 Pandemic Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: 1y0pl31i_1
Snippet: The classic epidemic models are mainly based on the capacities of the virus to propagate in an environment without protection. The variables include disease incubation period, speed and strength of viral propagation while introducing some assumptions related to the slowdown barriers. However, reality could be a lot more complicated. For instance, COVID-19's incubation period varies from 1 to 14 days. What's more, to stop epidemic spread and reduc.....
Document: The classic epidemic models are mainly based on the capacities of the virus to propagate in an environment without protection. The variables include disease incubation period, speed and strength of viral propagation while introducing some assumptions related to the slowdown barriers. However, reality could be a lot more complicated. For instance, COVID-19's incubation period varies from 1 to 14 days. What's more, to stop epidemic spread and reduce infections to lower levels is a concerted effort of both the government and the people. The strategies of dealing with the outbreak, the strength of government execution, how people react and respond to the measures are critical to the number of infections.
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