Author: Zian Zhuang; Peihua Cao; Shi Zhao; Yijun Lou; Weiming Wang; Shu Yang; Lin Yang; Daihai He
Title: Estimation of local novel coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Wuhan, China from off-site reported cases and population flow data from different sources Document date: 2020_3_2
ID: 4f84pc83_23
Snippet: is the total log-likelihood. The k represents the total number of cities/regions calculated. The n, p represents the number of cases reported overseas and probability of finding any cases overseas respectively. After obtaining λ , since residuals of log maximum likelihood estimation follows Chi-square distribution [13] , 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of log-likelihood, l, can be calculated. Then we can extrapolate a 95% CI about COVID-19 cas.....
Document: is the total log-likelihood. The k represents the total number of cities/regions calculated. The n, p represents the number of cases reported overseas and probability of finding any cases overseas respectively. After obtaining λ , since residuals of log maximum likelihood estimation follows Chi-square distribution [13] , 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of log-likelihood, l, can be calculated. Then we can extrapolate a 95% CI about COVID-19 cases.
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