Author: Steve Yadlowsky; Nigam Shah; Jacob Steinhardt
Title: Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Prevalence in Santa Clara County Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: 6vt60348_15
Snippet: For the rate of growth of infections , we compared two values: the first estimated from the change in hospitalizations from March 3 to March 12 in the Santa Clara data, and the second calculated from the reported 6-9 day doubling time 3 , 4 . The estimate of the rate of growth of infections from hospitalizations gives a 14.4% growth per day and the estimate from Chinese data gives 8-12% growth per day. Because increases in the number of tests per.....
Document: For the rate of growth of infections , we compared two values: the first estimated from the change in hospitalizations from March 3 to March 12 in the Santa Clara data, and the second calculated from the reported 6-9 day doubling time 3 , 4 . The estimate of the rate of growth of infections from hospitalizations gives a 14.4% growth per day and the estimate from Chinese data gives 8-12% growth per day. Because increases in the number of tests performed (which is growing quickly at about 30% per day 5 ) affects the number of confirmed cases, relying on the growth of confirmed cases in the Santa Clara County will likely overestimate the growth rate of infections, so we use this as our upper bound.
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