Author: Dayton G Thorpe; Kelsey Lyberger
Title: Estimating the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 7sexfkxq_8
Snippet: In Figure 1 and Table 1 we report the estimated fraction of the population infected in each state. The estimated value in New York is so high that it is likely close to herd immunity. If the spread is already slowing in New York due to herd immunity, the model would overestimate the number of infections. The state with the second highest attack rate, New Jersey, at 15.60% [7.12%, 29.29%], is well below herd immunity......
Document: In Figure 1 and Table 1 we report the estimated fraction of the population infected in each state. The estimated value in New York is so high that it is likely close to herd immunity. If the spread is already slowing in New York due to herd immunity, the model would overestimate the number of infections. The state with the second highest attack rate, New Jersey, at 15.60% [7.12%, 29.29%], is well below herd immunity.
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