Selected article for: "peak number and traffic blockage factor"
Author: Deqiang Li; Zhicheng Liu; Qinghe Liu; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Estimating the Efficacy of Traffic Blockage and Quarantine for the Epidemic Caused by 2019-nCoV (COVID-19)
  • Document date: 2020_2_17
    • ID: 6f6t558e_30
    Snippet: As shown in Fig 3, the peak number of cases decrease as the traffic blockage factor increases. For Hubei province, the current traffic blockage factor is estimaed to be 0.66, which indicates around 34% of suceptibles who flowed out from Hubei, if we increase the factor by 0.1, the peak number of infections will decrease by 2.14%. For the provinces except Hubei, the current traffic blockage factor is estimated to be 0.26, if we incease the factor .....
    Document: As shown in Fig 3, the peak number of cases decrease as the traffic blockage factor increases. For Hubei province, the current traffic blockage factor is estimaed to be 0.66, which indicates around 34% of suceptibles who flowed out from Hubei, if we increase the factor by 0.1, the peak number of infections will decrease by 2.14%. For the provinces except Hubei, the current traffic blockage factor is estimated to be 0.26, if we incease the factor by 0.1, the peak number of infections will decrease by 4.01%. When the traffic blockage factor ߬ is close to 1, the target area is almost completely in blockage, the peak value will decrease by 21.06% -22.39% to the case that ߬ tends to 0. Clearly, self-isolation and quarantine is more effective than traffic blockage.

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