Author: Deqiang Li; Zhicheng Liu; Qinghe Liu; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Estimating the Efficacy of Traffic Blockage and Quarantine for the Epidemic Caused by 2019-nCoV (COVID-19) Document date: 2020_2_17
ID: 6f6t558e_41
Snippet: In the simulated results, we conclude that if the masses take protective measures, the peak number of cases will decrease greatly by 89.68%. However, if the masses completely ignored self-isolation, the peak is predicted to increase by 20.40%. And if the external population flows to the target area is almost completely blocked, the peak number will decrease by 21.06%-22.38%......
Document: In the simulated results, we conclude that if the masses take protective measures, the peak number of cases will decrease greatly by 89.68%. However, if the masses completely ignored self-isolation, the peak is predicted to increase by 20.40%. And if the external population flows to the target area is almost completely blocked, the peak number will decrease by 21.06%-22.38%.
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