Author: Nick Wilson; Amanda Kvalsvig; Lucy Telfar Barnard; Michael Baker
Title: Estimating the Case Fatality Risk of COVID-19 using Cases from Outside China Document date: 2020_2_18
ID: b4kzgubs_1
Snippet: The new coronavirus appears to be fairly transmissible [1] , and is spreading in China. Disease severity is a particularly important parameter for understanding this new disease [1] , but unfortunately, the case fatality risk (CFR) data from China is difficult to interpret owing to likely missed mild cases (including due to a lack of appropriate test kits early in the epidemic) and also the likely delay in deaths occurring. Such a prolonged time .....
Document: The new coronavirus appears to be fairly transmissible [1] , and is spreading in China. Disease severity is a particularly important parameter for understanding this new disease [1] , but unfortunately, the case fatality risk (CFR) data from China is difficult to interpret owing to likely missed mild cases (including due to a lack of appropriate test kits early in the epidemic) and also the likely delay in deaths occurring. Such a prolonged time course is suggested by a case series of 138 cases from Wuhan, China with cases enrolled between 1-28 January 2020. For this group on 3 February, 62% were still hospitalised and 31% (11/36) of those admitted to ICU were still there (6 had died) [2] .
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