Selected article for: "magnitude order and model parameter"
Author: Rajesh Ranjan
Title: Estimating the Final Epidemic Size for COVID-19 Outbreak using Improved Epidemiological Models
  • Document date: 2020_4_16
    • ID: emyuny1a_62
    Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.12.20061002 doi: medRxiv preprint accelerating stages due to recent outbreaks (shown earlier in Fig. 3 ). Among these, the predictions for France are not at all trustworthy as the recent big jump in the number of cases makes the convergence of model parameter very difficult. Results with the UK, Iran and India are also not converged but g.....
    Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.12.20061002 doi: medRxiv preprint accelerating stages due to recent outbreaks (shown earlier in Fig. 3 ). Among these, the predictions for France are not at all trustworthy as the recent big jump in the number of cases makes the convergence of model parameter very difficult. Results with the UK, Iran and India are also not converged but gives an order-of-magnitude estimation of final epidemic size. A very low estimate for India may be due to early measures of international flight suspension and strict lockdown before stage-3. So far, only a few small cluster community transmissions are reported in India.

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