Author: Rajesh Ranjan
Title: Estimating the Final Epidemic Size for COVID-19 Outbreak using Improved Epidemiological Models Document date: 2020_4_16
ID: emyuny1a_12
Snippet: Most of the countries in Fig. 3 show flattening of the curve after t 1 , except for France, the UK and India. For France, recent spikes with single day spike of about 23000 has made an unusual change in the curve. For the UK and India also, there are no confirmed trends of decline in the acceleration rate. Further, it is important to note that for China, the flattening is relatively very sudden post lockdown while the deceleration in European cou.....
Document: Most of the countries in Fig. 3 show flattening of the curve after t 1 , except for France, the UK and India. For France, recent spikes with single day spike of about 23000 has made an unusual change in the curve. For the UK and India also, there are no confirmed trends of decline in the acceleration rate. Further, it is important to note that for China, the flattening is relatively very sudden post lockdown while the deceleration in European countries is very slow. This aspect will be discussed further for introducing corrections to the predictions from models.
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