Author: Rajesh Ranjan
Title: Estimating the Final Epidemic Size for COVID-19 Outbreak using Improved Epidemiological Models Document date: 2020_4_16
ID: emyuny1a_14
Snippet: The early stage of an epidemic, such as shown by the orange shaded region in Fig. 3 , is relatively easy to model as the spread of disease follow an exponential curve. The modeling of later stages to predict the decline and eventual flattening of the curve is very challenging as more known parameters need to be included in the model. The inclusion of effects due to isolation and quarantine adds to the complication......
Document: The early stage of an epidemic, such as shown by the orange shaded region in Fig. 3 , is relatively easy to model as the spread of disease follow an exponential curve. The modeling of later stages to predict the decline and eventual flattening of the curve is very challenging as more known parameters need to be included in the model. The inclusion of effects due to isolation and quarantine adds to the complication.
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