Selected article for: "great number and herd immunity"
Author: Patrick Bryant; Arne Elofsson
Title: Estimating the impact of mobility patterns on COVID-19 infection rates in 11 European countries
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
    • ID: emejt26r_8
    Snippet: The estimated number of cases has great uncertainty across all countries, especially in the one-week forecasts. What can be read out from the graphs in Figures 1 and S1 is that most countries have peaked or are in the verge of doing so, except for the Scandinavian ones (Sweden, Denmark and Norway) and perhaps Germany. What is especially troubling is again Sweden, which is predicted to observe somewhere between 1-3 million cases in the end of next.....
    Document: The estimated number of cases has great uncertainty across all countries, especially in the one-week forecasts. What can be read out from the graphs in Figures 1 and S1 is that most countries have peaked or are in the verge of doing so, except for the Scandinavian ones (Sweden, Denmark and Norway) and perhaps Germany. What is especially troubling is again Sweden, which is predicted to observe somewhere between 1-3 million cases in the end of next week . It should be noted here that the model does not take herd-immunity effects into account, which should be reached at around 6-millions affected in Sweden. Further updates to the model will take this into account.

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