Author: Dayton G Thorpe; Kelsey Lyberger
Title: Estimating the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 7sexfkxq_3
Snippet: We briefly summarize the CRT model here, but refer to [3] for full details. The model takes three inputs from each modeled population: 1) the age distribution, 2) the time series of known COVID-19 fatalities, and 3) the start dates of four mitigation policies (encouraging social distancing, closing schools and universities, banning public events, and a lockdown / stay-at-home order). It also relies on four values estimated from prior research: 1).....
Document: We briefly summarize the CRT model here, but refer to [3] for full details. The model takes three inputs from each modeled population: 1) the age distribution, 2) the time series of known COVID-19 fatalities, and 3) the start dates of four mitigation policies (encouraging social distancing, closing schools and universities, banning public events, and a lockdown / stay-at-home order). It also relies on four values estimated from prior research: 1) the infection fatality ratio (IFR) by age, 2) the serial interval distribution, 3) the infection-to-onset distribution, and 4) the onset-to-death distribution. These values are not extracted from population data based on testing people who are already symptomatic. Instead, they are measured from several cases in which all members of a small population at high risk of infection were tested and observed, whether or not they showed symptoms. We discuss the IFR further in section III.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- infection high risk and model population: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- infection high risk and onset infection: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- infection high risk and prior research: 1
- infection high risk and social distancing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37
- infection high risk and symptomatic people: 1, 2
- interval distribution and onset infection: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
- interval distribution and onset infection distribution: 1
- interval distribution and public event: 1
- interval distribution and serial interval distribution: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83
- interval distribution and small population: 1
- interval distribution and social distancing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- interval distribution and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- lockdown home stay order and social distancing: 1, 2
- mitigation policy and model population: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- mitigation policy and social distancing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
- mitigation policy and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4
- model population and onset infection: 1, 2, 3
- start date and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date