Identifying prognostic risk factors for poor outcome following COVID-19 disease among in-centre haemodialysis patients: role of inflammation and frailty

Hendra, Heidy; Vajgel, Gisele; Antonelou, Marilina; Neradova, Aegida; Manson, Bethia; Clark, Sarah Grace; Kostakis, Ioannis D.; Caplin, Ben; Salama, Alan D.

INTRODUCTION: The pandemic of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has highly affected patients with comorbidities and frailty who cannot self-isolate, such as individuals undergoing haemodialysis. The aim of the study was to identify risk factors for mortality and hospitalisation, which may be useful in future disease spikes. METHODS: We collected data retrospectively from the electronic medical records of all patients receiving a diagnosis of COVID-19 between 11th March and 10th May 2020 undergoing maintenance haemodialysis at four satellite dialysis units from the Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK. Mortality was the primary outcome, and the need for hospitalization was the secondary one. RESULTS: Out of 746 patients undergoing regular haemodialysis, 148 symptomatic patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR and were included in the analysis. The overall mortality rate was 24.3%. By univariate analysis, older age, ischaemic heart disease, lower systolic blood pressure, lower body mass index (BMI) and higher frailty scores were associated with higher rates of mortality (all p value < 0.05). The laboratory factors associated with mortality were higher values of WBC, neutrophil counts, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratios (NLR), C-reactive protein (CRP), bilirubin, ferritin, troponin, and lower serum albumin level (all p value < 0.05). In the logistic regression, mortality was associated with older age and higher CRP, while high levels of NLR and CRP were associated with the need for hospitalization. DISCUSSION: Haemodialysis patients are susceptible to COVID-19 and have a high mortality rate. Our study identifies prognostic risk factors associated with poor outcome including age, frailty and markers of inflammation, which may support more informed clinical decision-making. GRAPHIC ABSTRACT: [Image: see text]