Author: milan batista
Title: Estimation of the final size of the second phase of the coronavirus epidemic by the logistic model Document date: 2020_3_16
ID: h5zfmhqj_31
Snippet: The short-term forecasting is given in Table 3 where we see that the discrepancy of actual and forecasted number of cases is within 2%. However, actual and predicted daily new cases are scattered and vary between 13% to 300%. On 7 Mar 2020, the actual number of cases was 80695, and the daily number of cases was 44. Prediction in Table 3 is cumulative 80588 cases and 39 daily cases. The errors are 0.1% and 11%, respectively. . CC-BY-ND 4.0 Interna.....
Document: The short-term forecasting is given in Table 3 where we see that the discrepancy of actual and forecasted number of cases is within 2%. However, actual and predicted daily new cases are scattered and vary between 13% to 300%. On 7 Mar 2020, the actual number of cases was 80695, and the daily number of cases was 44. Prediction in Table 3 is cumulative 80588 cases and 39 daily cases. The errors are 0.1% and 11%, respectively. . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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