Selected article for: "initial number and reported number"
Author: Feng Lin; Yi Huang; Huifang Zhang; Xu He; Yonghua Yin; Jiaxin Liu
Title: Evaluating the different control policies for COVID-19 between mainland China and European countries by a mathematical model in the confirmed cases
  • Document date: 2020_4_22
    • ID: lgdsi48m_36
    Snippet: If in fact the initial number of the susceptible cases was 3000 rather than 763 in China, and was 300 rather than 0 in Italy and Spain, then the active cases and the death is shown in figures 9-10. The number of the active cases were the same as those in the previous simulation, the only change is the initial number of the susceptible population and the coefficient r 2 . It turns out that r 2 for European countries is still larger than that for C.....
    Document: If in fact the initial number of the susceptible cases was 3000 rather than 763 in China, and was 300 rather than 0 in Italy and Spain, then the active cases and the death is shown in figures 9-10. The number of the active cases were the same as those in the previous simulation, the only change is the initial number of the susceptible population and the coefficient r 2 . It turns out that r 2 for European countries is still larger than that for China. It implies that the banning of transportation for China is more rigorous. Moreover, the initial number of the susceptible population is larger than that was reported regardless of the country due to lack of access to COVID-19 test kits in the early weeks.

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