Author: Chakrit Pongkitivanichkul; Daris Samart; Takol Tangphati; Phanit Koomhin; Pimchanok Pimton; Punsiri Dam-O; Apirak Payaka; Phongpichit Channuie
Title: Estimating the size of COVID-19 epidemic outbreak Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: auzioqyz_23
Snippet: To complete the discussion on the estimation of epidemic size for countries in growth-dominated phase, we find the best fit for each value of n ranging from 1-5 and provide the multiplying factor a/a 0 where a 0 is the prediction of the size of each epidemic from normal logistic function with n = 1 (see the second column in , t0, c) for each country categorized in the growthdominated phase. Here the results are of the parameter fit with n = 1. In.....
Document: To complete the discussion on the estimation of epidemic size for countries in growth-dominated phase, we find the best fit for each value of n ranging from 1-5 and provide the multiplying factor a/a 0 where a 0 is the prediction of the size of each epidemic from normal logistic function with n = 1 (see the second column in , t0, c) for each country categorized in the growthdominated phase. Here the results are of the parameter fit with n = 1. In this case, we observed that the best fits still contain higher uncertainty compared with the countries in the maturing phase.
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