Author: Jinghua Li; Yijing Wang; Stuart Gilmour; Mengying Wang; Daisuke Yoneoka; Ying Wang; Xinyi You; Jing Gu; Chun Hao; Liping Peng; Zhicheng Du; Dong Roman Xu; Yuantao Hao
Title: Estimation of the epidemic properties of the 2019 novel coronavirus: A mathematical modeling study Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: nzynerfu_1
Snippet: In December 2019 a novel coronavirus outbreak began in Wuhan, Hubei province, in China. As of 9 th February 37,558 cases of the virus had been confirmed globally, of which 37,251 were confirmed in China, with 813 deaths. 1 On 30 th January the WHO declared the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) a public health emergency of international concern, 2 and on 23 rd January the Hubei Provincial Government closed the city of Wuhan, 3 followed by the closure o.....
Document: In December 2019 a novel coronavirus outbreak began in Wuhan, Hubei province, in China. As of 9 th February 37,558 cases of the virus had been confirmed globally, of which 37,251 were confirmed in China, with 813 deaths. 1 On 30 th January the WHO declared the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) a public health emergency of international concern, 2 and on 23 rd January the Hubei Provincial Government closed the city of Wuhan, 3 followed by the closure of a wider network of cities in Hubei on 24 th January, 4 to prevent its spread. Although the number of cases outside of China remains small, mathematical modeling has identified the risk of spread of the disease to population centres and transit hubs in other countries, 5 with the possibility that the COVID-19 outbreak could become a global pandemic.
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