Author: Alex Perkins; Sean M. Cavany; Sean M Moore; Rachel J Oidtman; Anita Lerch; Marya Poterek
Title: Estimating unobserved SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States Document date: 2020_3_18
ID: fb8mca1h_50
Snippet: The ratio of deaths expected March 13 and after, relative to before then, was higher with changes in parameters that resulted in faster growth in local infections and later arrival of imported infections (Fig. S8 , Table S3 ). The proportion of deaths expected to occur after March 12 also increased with increases in the delay between symptom onset and death (Table S3) . Overdispersion (lower k) did not drastically alter our estimates of Ï travel.....
Document: The ratio of deaths expected March 13 and after, relative to before then, was higher with changes in parameters that resulted in faster growth in local infections and later arrival of imported infections (Fig. S8 , Table S3 ). The proportion of deaths expected to occur after March 12 also increased with increases in the delay between symptom onset and death (Table S3) . Overdispersion (lower k) did not drastically alter our estimates of Ï travel or (Table S1 ) or the number of cumulative infections (Table S2 ), but it did extend the lower and upper bounds on the range of the ratio of deaths after and before March 12 (Table S3) .
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