Selected article for: "forward time and incubation period"

Author: Qin Jing; Chong You; Qiushi Lin; Taojun Hu; Shicheng Yu; Xiao-Hua Zhou
Title: Estimation of incubation period distribution of COVID-19 using disease onset forward time: a novel cross-sectional and forward follow-up study
  • Document date: 2020_3_10
  • ID: it4ka7v0_40
    Snippet: It is arguable that people who left Wuhan might also be infected at the day of departure since they had a higher chance to be exposed to this highly contagious, human-to-human-transmitted virus in a crowded environment as cases were increasing. In such case, the duration between departure from Wuhan and onset of symptoms is no longer only the forward time, but a mixture of the incubation period and the forward time. Unfortunately, it is unclear w.....
    Document: It is arguable that people who left Wuhan might also be infected at the day of departure since they had a higher chance to be exposed to this highly contagious, human-to-human-transmitted virus in a crowded environment as cases were increasing. In such case, the duration between departure from Wuhan and onset of symptoms is no longer only the forward time, but a mixture of the incubation period and the forward time. Unfortunately, it is unclear who got infected before departure and who got infected at the event of departure. Hence, a mixture sensitivity forward time model is proposed, that is,

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