Author: Leonardo R Lopez; Xavier Rodo
Title: A modified SEIR model to predict the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain: simulating control scenarios and multi-scale epidemics Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: m27nyzrw_26
Snippet: Current estimates of future trends in new infections in the weeks after March 23 largely compromise the capacity of the Spanish health system, as it happened for Italy. This is especially critical in particular for intensive care units from the end of March [23] . Our projections for the forthcoming evolution in the COVID-19 epidemic curve for Spain show a pessimistic scenario unless current social distancing measures are effective (see Appendix .....
Document: Current estimates of future trends in new infections in the weeks after March 23 largely compromise the capacity of the Spanish health system, as it happened for Italy. This is especially critical in particular for intensive care units from the end of March [23] . Our projections for the forthcoming evolution in the COVID-19 epidemic curve for Spain show a pessimistic scenario unless current social distancing measures are effective (see Appendix for an update as of March 31.
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