Author: Joe Hilton; Matt J Keeling
Title: Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices Document date: 2020_2_27
ID: 96wkqutc_18
Snippet: This point is seen to hold for all countries investigated (Figures 1 and 2) . In Figure 1 , we see that without age-dependent susceptibility transmission is low in many European countries as well as in South Korea and Japan, and high in many African countries, consistent with the differences in daily number of contacts predicted by Prem et al driven by the proportion of children. However, the maps in Figure 2 demonstrate that when age-specific su.....
Document: This point is seen to hold for all countries investigated (Figures 1 and 2) . In Figure 1 , we see that without age-dependent susceptibility transmission is low in many European countries as well as in South Korea and Japan, and high in many African countries, consistent with the differences in daily number of contacts predicted by Prem et al driven by the proportion of children. However, the maps in Figure 2 demonstrate that when age-specific susceptibility is taken into account, the pattern of infectious potential by country is generally reversed. We then expect to see higher transmission in Eastern Europe (including Italy which had the largest number of cases in Europe in late February 2020) and Japan, and reduced transmission across Africa, central America, the Middle East and India.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- african country and high transmission: 1
- age dependent susceptibility transmission and susceptibility transmission: 1, 2
- age specific susceptibility and daily number: 1
- age specific susceptibility and susceptibility transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- case large number and large number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33
- country infectious potential and infectious potential: 1
- daily number and european country: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- daily number and high transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- daily number and infectious potential: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- daily number and large number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53
- daily number and reduce transmission: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
- daily number and susceptibility transmission: 1, 2, 3
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date