Author: Steve Yadlowsky; Nigam Shah; Jacob Steinhardt
Title: Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Prevalence in Santa Clara County Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: 6vt60348_7
Snippet: Therefore, to estimate the number of infections on day t , we use the number of hospitalizations h(t) , and use the formula infections(t) = exp(lag time * exponential growth rate) * h(t) / hospitalization rate . This can be converted to a prevalence fraction by dividing by the population size. Note that the hospitalization rate is needed to estimate the total number of infections, but not for forecasting overall hospital bed demand......
Document: Therefore, to estimate the number of infections on day t , we use the number of hospitalizations h(t) , and use the formula infections(t) = exp(lag time * exponential growth rate) * h(t) / hospitalization rate . This can be converted to a prevalence fraction by dividing by the population size. Note that the hospitalization rate is needed to estimate the total number of infections, but not for forecasting overall hospital bed demand.
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