Author: Jinghua Li; Yijing Wang; Stuart Gilmour; Mengying Wang; Daisuke Yoneoka; Ying Wang; Xinyi You; Jing Gu; Chun Hao; Liping Peng; Zhicheng Du; Dong Roman Xu; Yuantao Hao
Title: Estimation of the epidemic properties of the 2019 novel coronavirus: A mathematical modeling study Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: nzynerfu_14
Snippet: The weighted average estimate of the basic reproduction number shows that the epidemic slowed down after the closure of Wuhan city, dropping from 4.38 (95% CI 3.63 -5.13) before the closure to 3.41 (95% CI 3.16 -3.65) after. The 95% confidence intervals for the exponential growth estimate of post-closure " do not overlap the point estimate for the pre-closure period, indicating that there was a significant reduction in the basic reproduction numb.....
Document: The weighted average estimate of the basic reproduction number shows that the epidemic slowed down after the closure of Wuhan city, dropping from 4.38 (95% CI 3.63 -5.13) before the closure to 3.41 (95% CI 3.16 -3.65) after. The 95% confidence intervals for the exponential growth estimate of post-closure " do not overlap the point estimate for the pre-closure period, indicating that there was a significant reduction in the basic reproduction number after the closure of Wuhan. Figure 1 shows the model predictions from all five models plotted against the observed cases for the pre-closure period (top left panel), post-closure period (top right panel) and entire period (bottom panel). A similar figure, with only the best-fitting model shown, is given in Supplementary Figure S2 .
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- average estimate and basic reproduction number average estimate: 1
- average estimate and best fit: 1
- average estimate and confidence interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- average estimate and entire period: 1, 2
- average estimate and growth estimate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- average estimate and model prediction: 1, 2
- average estimate and point estimate: 1
- basic reproduction number and best fit: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- basic reproduction number and best fit model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- basic reproduction number and confidence interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- basic reproduction number and entire period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- basic reproduction number and epidemic slow: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- basic reproduction number and growth estimate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
- basic reproduction number and model prediction: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23
- basic reproduction number and observed case: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- basic reproduction number and point estimate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- basic reproduction number and post closure period: 1, 2
- basic reproduction number and pre closure period: 1, 2, 3, 4
- best fit and confidence interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date