Author: milan batista
Title: Estimation of the final size of the second phase of the coronavirus epidemic by the logistic model Document date: 2020_3_16
ID: h5zfmhqj_1
Snippet: however, use approximate solution and thus obtain four-parameter problem which can be very sensitive to initial guess). Yet, the logistics model has its drawbacks as the epidemic approaches its final stage: the actual number of cases may be slightly larger than that predicted by the logistics model. If the actual number of cases begins to exceed the predicted end-state systematically, then a second phase of the epidemic is likely to occur, and th.....
Document: however, use approximate solution and thus obtain four-parameter problem which can be very sensitive to initial guess). Yet, the logistics model has its drawbacks as the epidemic approaches its final stage: the actual number of cases may be slightly larger than that predicted by the logistics model. If the actual number of cases begins to exceed the predicted end-state systematically, then a second phase of the epidemic is likely to occur, and the model will no longer be applicable.
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