Author: Ines Abdeljaoued-Tej; Marc Dhenain
Title: Estimation of Tunisia COVID-19 infected cases based on mortality rate Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: g44xo465_2
Snippet: Knowing the number of people affected is important for implementing strategies to protect populations and to end the crisis: In [7] the median incubation period of COVID-19 was studied, but publicly reported cases may over-represent severe cases. This number reveals flagrant differences between countries. For example, on April 13 th , a day when the number of worldwide deaths was close to 120 000, Tunisia reported around 707 people affected (60 p.....
Document: Knowing the number of people affected is important for implementing strategies to protect populations and to end the crisis: In [7] the median incubation period of COVID-19 was studied, but publicly reported cases may over-represent severe cases. This number reveals flagrant differences between countries. For example, on April 13 th , a day when the number of worldwide deaths was close to 120 000, Tunisia reported around 707 people affected (60 per million the population) and 31 deaths, compared with many more 136 779 affected persons in France (2 095 per million) for 14 967 deaths. China reported around 82 000 people affected (57 per million) and more than 3 300 deaths. Germany, for its part, reported 130 000 people affected (1 552 per million) and 3 194 deaths. At first glance, differences between countries can be objectified by calculating the mortality rate T on a given day (t 0 ):
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