Author: Ines Abdeljaoued-Tej; Marc Dhenain
Title: Estimation of Tunisia COVID-19 infected cases based on mortality rate Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: g44xo465_30
Snippet: Public health measures, such as isolation, quarantine, and public closings, greatly reduce the final size of the epidemic and make the turning point much earlier than without these measures. For example, for Tunisia on April 12, P 18 = 3.6, while on March 25, 2020, when regulation of progression rate based on population containment was still not fully efficient, P 18 = 127. We can therefore estimate that the containment made it possible to reduce.....
Document: Public health measures, such as isolation, quarantine, and public closings, greatly reduce the final size of the epidemic and make the turning point much earlier than without these measures. For example, for Tunisia on April 12, P 18 = 3.6, while on March 25, 2020, when regulation of progression rate based on population containment was still not fully efficient, P 18 = 127. We can therefore estimate that the containment made it possible to reduce P 18 from 127 to 3.6. The number of cases estimated on April 12 using P 18 = 175 would have been 26 246 cases (with T = 15%). Thus, the containment from March 25 to April 12 prevented the appearance of 25 539 new cases in Tunisia, as well as associated fatalities.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- epidemic final size and new case: 1
- epidemic final size and population containment: 1
- epidemic final size and turning point: 1, 2, 3, 4
- epidemic final size reduce and final size: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
- final size and new case: 1
- final size and population containment: 1
- final size and turning point: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
- health measure and new case: 1, 2, 3, 4
- health measure and population containment: 1
- health measure and public health measure: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- new case and population containment: 1
- new case and public closing: 1
- new case and public health measure: 1, 2, 3, 4
- new case and turning point: 1
- population containment and progression rate: 1
- population containment and public health measure: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date