Author: Michael Triplett
Title: Evidence that higher temperatures are associated with lower incidence of COVID-19 in pandemic state, cumulative cases reported up to March 27, 2020 Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: g26to20g_9
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint Nonlinear regression of case rates by temperature returned the best fit of all presented models. P-values cannot be calculated for independent nonlinear regression variables, so significance could not be determined with that method. However, R 2 of 93.78% and normality test of residuals with p-value = 0.546 indicated a good fit for the model until case rates converge near.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint Nonlinear regression of case rates by temperature returned the best fit of all presented models. P-values cannot be calculated for independent nonlinear regression variables, so significance could not be determined with that method. However, R 2 of 93.78% and normality test of residuals with p-value = 0.546 indicated a good fit for the model until case rates converge near zero above 22.5 o C. Fig. 7 shows the close fit between predicted and actual values in that range.
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