Author: Pierre-Yves BOELLE
Title: Excess cases of Influenza like illnesses in France synchronous with COVID19 invasion. Document date: 2020_3_17
ID: ba3we97o_7
Snippet: The modelling approach allowed computing excess cases in 11 out of 13 regions. The model did not provide a good fit in the remaining 2 regions (see appendix). The overall ILI incidence showed renewed increase with 33 [-8, 64] consultations/100000 in excess during week 9 and 84 [447, 108] consultations/100000 in excess in week 10. This changed with regions: 4/11 regions displayed positive excess (credible interval excluding 0) in week 9 and 7/11 r.....
Document: The modelling approach allowed computing excess cases in 11 out of 13 regions. The model did not provide a good fit in the remaining 2 regions (see appendix). The overall ILI incidence showed renewed increase with 33 [-8, 64] consultations/100000 in excess during week 9 and 84 [447, 108] consultations/100000 in excess in week 10. This changed with regions: 4/11 regions displayed positive excess (credible interval excluding 0) in week 9 and 7/11 regions in week 10.
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