Author: Alberto Aleta; Yamir Moreno
Title: Evaluation of the potential incidence of COVID-19 and effectiveness of contention measures in Spain: a data-driven approach Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: 38f8ftmh_13
Snippet: In what follows, we parameterize the model according to the latest estimates for the disease parameters [4, 13] , namely, R 0 = 2.5, and a generation time T g = T E + T I = 7.5 resulting from considering T E = 5.2 and T I = 2.3 (in Appendix D we report that similar results are obtained for other values of T g , see Figures 11, 12 and 13) . Additionally, note that we have not explicitly included in the model the possibility of asymptomatic transmi.....
Document: In what follows, we parameterize the model according to the latest estimates for the disease parameters [4, 13] , namely, R 0 = 2.5, and a generation time T g = T E + T I = 7.5 resulting from considering T E = 5.2 and T I = 2.3 (in Appendix D we report that similar results are obtained for other values of T g , see Figures 11, 12 and 13) . Additionally, note that we have not explicitly included in the model the possibility of asymptomatic transmission, which should not be mistaken by transmission from undetected or unreported cases. Asymptomatic spreading is still under scrutiny and the statistical evidences are scarce and not significant enough as to be taken by granted. In any case, including this possibility would be trivially possible in this kind of models.
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