Author: Ganem, Fabiana; Mendes, Fabio Macedo; Oliveira, Silvano Barbosa; Porto, Victor Bertolo Gomes; Araujo, Wildo; Nakaya, Helder; Diaz-Quijano, Fredi A; Croda, Julio
Title: The impact of early social distancing at COVID-19 Outbreak in the largest Metropolitan Area of Brazil. Cord-id: 9bi6pobg Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: 9bi6pobg
Snippet: We evaluated the impact of early social distancing on the COVID-19 transmission in the Sao Paulo metropolitan area. Using an age-stratified SEIR model, we determined the time-dependent reproductive number, and forecasted the ICU beds necessary to tackle this epidemic. Within 60 days, these measures might prevent 89,133 deaths.
Document: We evaluated the impact of early social distancing on the COVID-19 transmission in the Sao Paulo metropolitan area. Using an age-stratified SEIR model, we determined the time-dependent reproductive number, and forecasted the ICU beds necessary to tackle this epidemic. Within 60 days, these measures might prevent 89,133 deaths.
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